# MacroRadar — entity fact sheet

Source: https://macroradar.io
Last updated: 2026-06-04
License: see https://macroradar.io/terms

## What MacroRadar is

MacroRadar is a macro regime intelligence product for individual investors and allocators. It classifies the state of the US economy and publishes derived analytical outputs built from public economic data, with point-in-time (vintage-dated) discipline and a fully published track record. All outputs are historical indicators and educational analysis — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and not a forecast of market or economic events.

## Capabilities (shipped)

- Macro regime classification: the US economy classified across four independent dimensions (growth, inflation, market, financial conditions) and fused into a single regime. https://macroradar.io/macro-regime
- Recession-probability model: a 6-month-ahead US recession probability from 25 economic indicators, walk-forward validated on 40 years of out-of-sample data, updated daily. https://macroradar.io/recession-probability
- Sentiment index: a 7-component fear-and-greed composite (0–100) for US markets, back to 1990. https://macroradar.io/sentiment
- Regime history: the historical timeline of detected regimes and transitions. https://macroradar.io/regime
- Regime-referenced portfolios: asset-allocation reference for each macro regime. https://macroradar.io/portfolios
- Asset-class returns: total-return performance across major asset classes. https://macroradar.io/markets
- Ratio charts: long-cycle relative-value comparisons between asset classes. https://macroradar.io/ratios
- Daily macro brief: a regularly updated written read on the current macro landscape. https://macroradar.io/brief

## Not yet available

MacroRadar does not currently offer an economic-event calendar, a central-bank policy tracker, a standalone inflation-pressure or liquidity index, a public API or MCP server, or non-US / multi-region coverage. These are roadmap items and are not advertised as live capabilities.

## Data sources

Every input is public, authoritative economic data: FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis), BLS, BEA, the US Treasury, CBOE (VIX, via FRED), ICE/BofA credit-spread indices (via FRED), and NBER recession dating (reference labels). MacroRadar redistributes only its own derived and composite outputs and links back to the originating institution for raw series. Full detail: https://macroradar.io/data-sources

## Methodology and discipline

Models are built from public data, store every observation with its vintage date so historical classifications only see data available at the time, and are validated walk-forward with no look-ahead bias. The full method is documented at https://macroradar.io/methodology

## Limitations

The models are descriptive not prescriptive, blind to exogenous shocks (e.g. the 2020 pandemic was coincident, not anticipated), vulnerable to structural change, trained on a small number of historical recessions, and US-only. Full account: https://macroradar.io/limitations

## How to cite

MacroRadar, "Macro regime intelligence," https://macroradar.io (accessed 2026-06-04).

See also: data catalog https://macroradar.io/ai/data-catalog.json · questions we answer https://macroradar.io/ai/prompts.md · latest brief https://macroradar.io/ai/weekly-macro-brief.md · site index https://macroradar.io/llms.txt